Demographic Time Bombs Explode: GOP’s Hispanic Problem

president obama new mexico

President Obama campaigning in New Mexico (White House Photo by Pete Souza)

A FOX News(!) poll shows the bombshell effect of the USA’s Hispanic vote’s cumulative enmity towards the Republican Party. The three front running GOP candidates trail President Obama among Hispanic voters by 54-56 points! President Obama trumps front-runner Mitt Romney by 70%-14%! Statistically that is death.

The US Republican Party has ignored and alienated an ever growing US Hispanic population at their peril. Their rhetoric has come home to roost in 2012 because they use bombastic rhetoric and laws forgetting one simple fact: by 2050, they will be the largest population group in the USA.

The GOP have built border fences, doubled the guard (real and volunteer), demanded tough deportation laws of those on the US Southern border (Hispanic Mexicans) and despite many members being 2nd or 3rd generation European immigrants themselves, show zero tolerance for immigrants, passing tough state laws in Georgia and Arizona forcing immigrants to flee for fear of being taken from their children for ordering water delivered to their home.

obama thumps gopEgypt’s Hosni Mubarak should have been a GOP cautionary tale. He also did not learn. The average age there is under 30. The ruling, monied class are in their 70s and 80s. One year ago that bomb exploded as the Egyptian Revolution removed him from power. While the military SCAF desperately tries to hold on to power by sheer force, they will fail in the long term. Their demographic time bomb will also continue to grow in power and demand change.

Back in December I penned a detailed analysis of the US Presidential election predicting a 400+ Electoral Vote total (270 needed to win) for President Obama against Mitt Romney and 500+ (538 in total available) or more against anyone else. I further explain this madness in my new e-book Lipstick on THIS Pig?.

The only way to reverse this trend is to nominate Jeb Bush. His wife is Mexican; he is very comfortable in Miami. Having lived there and worked with him on the Beacon Council, I know he would be a spark for that community’s vote. He would dramatically reverse falling numbers in this community. The problem? His last name is Bush and his brother’s legacy would not help him in 2012 as talk of the economy and bombing Iran now rages?

obama new mexico

Photo by Pete Souze

My prediction was based on a number of traditional Republican stronghold states going for Obama this election. Why, the chickens are coming home to roost and the community is reacting to the ignoring of Hispanics.

Now the GOP through birth control and trans-vaginal ultrasounds are aggravating women? 51% of the total vote?

My numbers look stronger with each passing day. What can they do next to harm themselves? Have Romney lie on the national stage in Ohio about Romneycare and get caught by an old USA Today Op-Ed? Oh, never mind.

dennis campbellAnyone else sitting there wondering how much heat Romney will face when the best opposition research team in the business (Team Obama) starts to unleash its weekly barrages after having 18 months to prepare?

This will not be pretty.

You may have all the money in the world… but you can’t fix stupid.

Denis Campbell
UK Progressive 

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