Dreaming of Hillary in 2016?

hilary clintonHillary Clinton holds the record for being named Gallup’s most admired woman, 16 years to be exact. Her favorability ratings among the general population are in the mid-sixties and among Democrats she has an 86 percent favorability score. The question now is what is she going to do with this stockpile of good feeling?

She has not always been the most popular or favored political figure whether because she was perceived as too meddlesome, too tough, or not tough enough. But once she became Secretary of State her favorability has remained above 60 percent. And while four years ago her own party was deeply split on her fit as presidential candidate today Democrats from all wings of the party want her to be the nominee in 2016.

According to a poll just released by Public Policy Polling Hillary Clinton has got it in the bag. If the Democratic primary were to be held today she would receive 57 percent of the vote with Vice President Biden coming in at a very distant second with less than 20 percent. As in 2008, Hillary Clinton has very solid support among women where nine out of ten lady Democrats have a favorable opinion of her. Among the gentleman, that figure drops slightly but only to 8 out of 10 having a favorable opinion of her. And while the glass ceiling isn’t completely cracked, its getting there — this poll found that only 10 percent believed that the Democratic nominee should be a man.

Secretary of State Hillary Clinton has denied that she will seek elected office after stepping down from her current position. More specifically she has denied interest in running for the 2016 Democratic Presidential nomination. And while her husband confirms her intent not to run he very recently opened up the door to such a possibility when he said on Good Morning America that if she changes her mind and decides to run, he’d be happy.

Well, according to public opinion a whole heck of a lot of people would also be happy. But there is a Latina friend of mine in Austin, Texas who would be ecstatic. This friend has affirmed to me on multiple occasions that if Hillary Clinton were to run she would quit her job (a very prestigious one at that) and move to Washington DC to work for her campaign without pay! While the Latino community came to embrace Barack Obama as the nominee and has since consistently supported him, Hillary Clinton was the Latino electorate’s first love in 2008. She won the Latino vote in every primary with the exception of Illinois, by one point, and Virginia.

victoria defrancesco sotoHillary Clinton wasn’t everyone’s first love in 2008. However, over the course of her tenure as Secretary of State she has been able to woo those who initially did not love, let alone like her. She has gained a respect separate from that of her experience as First Lady or elected official. Through her role on the national stage Hillary Clinton has earned new respect and deepened it among those who already had it. Anything can happen in four years, but with that stockpile of favorability it would be a shame to not give that glass ceiling that final big crack it needs.

Victoria Defrancesco Soto

This article originally appeared on NBCLatino.

Published by the LA Progressive on April 20, 2012
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About Victoria DeFrancesco Soto

Dr. Victoria M. DeFrancesco Soto is an Assistant Professor of Political Science at Northwestern University and a Faculty Fellow at Northwestern’s Institute for Policy Research. She received her Ph.D. from Duke University in 2007 during which time she was a National Science Foundation Fellow. DeFrancesco Soto was recently named one of the top 12 scholars in the country by Diverse magazine.

Victoria’s research analyzes how human thought and emotion shapes political behavior. Her academic work focuses on: campaigns and elections, political marketing, race and ethnic politics, and immigration. Her academic research has been widely published in scholarly journals and edited volumes. In 2008, Dr. DeFrancesco Soto was Northwestern University’s principal investigator for the Big Ten Battleground Poll, a public opinion survey of voters for the 2008 Presidential election. She is currently working on a book manuscript that analyzes the emergence of conservative feminism.


  1. Tyrannus Evisceratus says:

    I really like this author. Also I would rather have Hillary as president than Barrack. The economy would have been fixed by now.

  2. JoeWeinstein says:

    If Hillary is so cool now, why isn’t she running now in the Dem primaries?  As Senator Hillary her key accomplishment was to show how she could be a toady for whoever’s in the White House, so – despite the Congress’ constitutional role as a check on the prez – she voted to rubberstamp Bush’s wars, and now as Sec of State she rubberstamps Obama’s notion that America’s role in the Mideast and elsewhere abroad is to make the world safer not for our friends but for our sworn enemies  

  3. walter Brasch says:

    Hillary will run only if she wants to run. She really has nothing to prove. But, it would be great if she did. I know many conservatives who despise her, their mouths foaming with invective. But, since these are also t he same ones who loved Sarah Palin and anything DFick Cheney did, I don’t think much of their thoughts. My wife and I were in Ms. Rodham Clinton’s “camp,” albeit as low-level volunteers in 2008. We believe she has the political acumen and ability to be a great president. But once Mr. Obama won the primary, our loyalty shifted–yet, we always think now and then, “what if . . .”

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