Why Can’t the Left Pull a Tea Party?

Blanche Lincoln

Blanche Lincoln

What with the anti-incumbent mood abroad in the country these days, with both Democrats and Republicans on the receiving end, expectations were high that the left wing of the Democratic Party, and its allies in the labor movement would be able to take out objectionable moderates such as Blanche Lincoln in Arkansas and Jane Harman in California. Why shouldn’t the Democrats’ left be able to do what the Republican right did in Kentucky, for example, when they put Rand Paul across, in defiance of the GOP establishment?

Well, there’s a very simple reason. There are twice as many conservatives as liberals in the country, and that’s been the case for a very long time, as shown in a 2009 report by the Pew Research Center for the People and the Press. Moreover, about two-thirds of Republicans identify themselves as conservatives, while more Democrats call themselves moderates than liberals.

Thus, it was not at all surprising that Senator Blanche Lincoln, a centrist from the relatively conservative state of Arkansas, could withstand the attacks of outside liberal groups and the national labor movement, even though she was unpopular enough to have been forced into a runoff with Lt. Governor Bill Halter. In the end she was able, with help from Bill Clinton and Barack Obama, to mobilize her base, including African Americans.

Rep. Jane Harman’s very substantial victory over Marcy Winograd is a bit more surprising, if only because her Southern California district has got to be more liberal than Arkansas (very few places outside the South aren’t more liberal than Arkansas). But when we note that Harman had previously defeated Winograd by a similar margin, we can conclude that support from national liberal groups created a buzz but didn’t change the outcome much, if at all.

The Democratic Party just is not a mirror image of the Republicans. It’s true that partisans have become steadily more polarized in the last generation: the Republican Party really is a conservative party today, in a way that it wasn’t even in the days of Richard Nixon. The Democrats are distinctly more liberal, but they are not a liberal party in the same sense as the GOP is conservative.

The current US House of Representatives illustrates the point. There are enough centrist Democrats like Harman to make the difference between majority and minority for the Democrats. All of these centrists, of course, are on the right wing of their party, but at the same time virtually all of them are measurably more liberal in their voting record than ANY Republican. The House Republicans simply do not have a significant body of centrists, unlike the Democrats.

This puts the Democrats in a very strong position to attract the growing number of political independents, who also tend to identify themselves as moderates. This is the task of Joe Sestak in Pennsylvania, after defeating Sen. Arlen Specter. Sestak needs to get across to moderate voters just how ideologically extreme is his Republican opponent, Pat Toomey.

john-peeler.gifAll this is very frustrating to those of us on the progressive side, because of course we think we think we know the best direction to take the country. But we haven’t yet done the job that the conservatives have done, to convince well over a third of all voters. We have, at best, a fifth. We need to keep trying to convince more; in the meantime, we should accept that we won’t be able to jerk the Democrats around as the Tea Partiers are doing to the Republicans.

John Peeler

Professor Emeritus of Political Science, Bucknell University

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Comments

  1. says

    WE DID PULL A TEA PARTY – WE ELECTED OBAMA, BUT

    he abandoned our ideals – Medicare for All, out of iraqistan, end torture and rendition, close Gitmo, no offshore drilling or nukes, jailing the banksters, etc.

    VISIT: (Scariest Video on the Internet): http://bit.ly/ScariestVideo

  2. Eric says

    I don’t think that’s true that only a fifth of the public are liberal. That’s how people self-identify in polls, but that’s because the word “liberal” has been demonized for decades, so most liberal won’t admit to it. The polls never ask about “progressive”, a word I sometimes define as “a liberal who won’t admit it”. I’ll say the same about many “moderates”. Looking at how the public usually feels on issues, and who wins more elections, there are more liberals than conservatives. So why can’t we knock off conservadems like the Tea Party knocks off Republicans? Actually, look at their record, and the Tea Parties don’t beat incumbents all that much either. They’ve beaten one senator and on representative. They lose most primaries.

    So I question the premise liberals are less successful than conservatives.

  3. Timi Burke says

    I agree, but I caution that the desire to jerk around the Dem Party generates from ego, not good sense.

    I’m a Moderate Dem in that I may wish for extreme change, but I am happy with ANY advance to the Left that this Administration can bring about, wresting established power from the long-term GOP leadership of the nation. This is what sets myself and other Moderate Dems apart from true Progressives. I used to think of Progressives as Extreme Liberals. I don’t anymore. I don’t think they’re Liberal enough! Rather, most Progressives behave as an Interest Group — by that I mean, they fight for exactly what they want and then they get in a huff if they don’t get it, followed by sitting-out the Game to fume and pout. In the contrary, as a Liberal, I am eager to see any incremental advance from the GOP-created status quo.

    If the amount of zeal the Progressives expended on trying to get Single-Payer were to be recreated and focused on every Dem win this November, why, we’d have a bonanza. And this would result in increased incremental legislation shifting the country to the Left. Of course, this involves seeing down the road, which too many Progressives have abandoned in favor of stoking their egos, seeing themselves as humiliated and abused by the leader upon whom they pinned their dreams.

    Quite frankly I feel this is childish and thank goodness Progressives haven’t yet pulled the tantrums their Extreme Right counterparts, the Tea Partiers, have. Can’t you see the result from the Partiers’ success? Paul and Angle are jokes who will never attract the bulk of the Independent Vote. Yet, the Tea Partiers are exulting right now, their egos in full bloom and in full denial of how they have brought about the upcoming failure of their ultimate goal (winning seats in Nov).

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