Popular Mechanics Reveals China’s Secret War Plan

taiwanChina’s “SECRET WAR PLAN” (Be amazed!) has leaked out and fallen into the hands of none other than Popular Mechanics magazine, which plastered it on the cover of its December issue. How this TOP SECRET info got into the hands of the intrepid editors at Hearst Publishing in New York on west 57th Street in Manhattan is not disclosed. But it reveals the sophisticated new technology of “China’s most dangerous new weapon,” the (shudder!) antiship ballistic missile, or ASBM, “specifically designed to target a moving aircraft carrier.”

Writer Erik Sofge says it could take out a carrier as powerful as the USS Nimitz, a 100,000-ton leviathan that carries 90 warplanes capable of making an excellent start at obliterating all of China, regardless of how that might impact Wal-Mart sales. Sofge speculates the Nimitz would race to Taiwan’s rescue IF China attacked, say, in 2015. Taiwan, of course, is an island 100 miles from the Mainland, long considered the private property of every ruler in Beijing.

Sofge prudently observes, “Chances are that war between China and the United States will not happen in 2015, or at any other time. Under normal circumstances, a war for Taiwan would simply be too costly for either side to wage, especially given the chance of nuclear escalation. But circumstances are not always normal.” He quotes retired Rear Admiral Eric McVadon of the Institute for Foreign Policy Analysis in Cambridge, Massachusetts, as saying, “They, (Beijing) are obsessed with Taiwan” and that “it’s entirely possible” someone in Beijing’s Politburo “gets the ball rolling and when it stops we’re at war.” McVadon also told the magazine, “I get criticized often for saying this, but I think Beijing is capable of acting irrationally when it comes to Taiwan.”

Of course, the Admiral says nothing about other countries that act irrationally to start wars. He might have mentioned one country in particular that got “the ball rolling” against Viet Nam, Nicaragua, Panama, Afghanistan, Iraq, Pakistan, and which overthrew by force and violence Iran in 1953, and Chile in 1973. A certain irrational country also meddled in the Chinese civil war in the first place back in the 1940s, giving aid to the Nationalist armies of dictator Chiang Kai-shek whose troops, defeated on the Mainland, fled to, and overran, Taiwan, a country whose defense the lucky U.S. taxpayers have paid billions for ever since. (The official Chinese Website publication “Global Times” claims the U.S. has given Taiwan as much as $60 billion in total military aid.)

“Preparedness is the cornerstone of deterrence,” author Sofge writes, “and some analysts say that the Pentagon must match Chinese advances to prevent conflict. ‘Part of what keeps the probability of war so small is that the U.S. and Taiwan have taken steps to make sure it would be painful for China,’” think tank RAND’s David Shlapak is quoted by PM as saying. Even so, “Senior Pentagon leaders are becoming increasingly concerned about the Chinese arsenal,” Sofge continues. He quotes Admiral Robert Willard, head of the Navy’s Pacific Command, who told Congress that “the PLA’s continued military advancements sustain a trend of shifting the cross-strait military balance in Beijing’s favor.” As well, Admiral Mike Mullen, chair of the Joint Chiefs of Staff, added that he has “moved from being curious to being genuinely concerned” about the buildup. (Uh-oh!)

“Right now the Chinese seem to have taken the lead in this new arms race,” Sofge writes. “When RAND released a report in 2000 describing the potential outcome of a Sino-American conflict over Taiwan, the United States won the war handily. Nine years later, the think tank revised its analysis, accounting for Beijing’s updated air force, its focus on cyber warfare and its ability to use ballistic missiles to take out American satellites. RAND’s new conclusion: The United States would ultimately lose an air war, and an overall conflict would be more difficult and costly than many had imagined.”

PM warns, “When it comes to missiles, China may be surpassing the United States. Earlier this year, the Pentagon said China has ‘the most active land-based ballistic and cruise missile program in the world.’ And no one else has developed an ASBM.” And there, dear taxpayers, you have an inkling of where the article is leading—-to A MISSILE GAP! Back in 1958, when Senator John F. Kennedy said the Soviets had the lead in intercontinental ballistic missiles(ICBMs), he opined there was a “missile gap” and blamed it on the Republican administration of President Dwight Eisenhower. That “Ike,” the general who did so much to win World War II, would allow anything of the sort to occur on his watch, was dubious to begin with. It is also doubtful that the warmongering Bush regime (2001-2009), awash in “defense” dollars, would allow a new missile gap to develop. (In fact, the original “missile gap” was a fraud and Kennedy later admitted he was sorry he even uttered the phrase. )

What this all means is that, assuming the veracity of China’s advances in missile technology, we have here the classic arms race. This is reminiscent of the sort that existed between the U.S. and Japan prior to World War II, as each country studied the latest designs of the others’ warships and improved their own accordingly. And we know where that led. According to the Congressional Research Service of May 30, 2003, “Among other things, President Bush has publicly stated that the United States will do ‘whatever it takes’ to help Taiwan’s defense — an unprecedented statement which no prior U.S. President has made. In April 2002, the President also approved a substantial sale of U.S. weapons to Taiwan, including Kidd-class destroyers, antisubmarine P-3 “Orion” aircraft, and diesel submarines.”

Francis Boyle, professor of international law at the University of Illinois, Champaign, points out: “Starting with the Bush Jr. administration the United States has deliberately exacerbated this volatile situation by providing high tech weapons systems to Taiwan in knowing violation of the 1982 Shanghai Communiqué concluded between the PRC and the Reagan administration.”

That declaration reads: “Having in mind the foregoing statements of both sides, the United States Government states that it does not seek to carry out a long-term policy of arms sales to Taiwan, that its arms sales to Taiwan will not exceed, either in qualitative or in quantitative terms, the level of those supplied in recent years since the establishment of diplomatic relations between the United States and China, and that it intends to reduce gradually its sales of arms to Taiwan, leading over a period of time to a final resolution. In so stating, the United States acknowledges China’s consistent position regarding the thorough settlement of this issue.”

However, Boyle comments, “The Obama administration has indicated its intention to carry-on with the sale of high tech weapons systems to Taiwan in violation of the Shanghai Communiqué. So who is provoking whom?” Boyle is the author of “Tackling America’s Toughest Questions” (Clarity Press).

Boyle says further that Beijing has indicated “it would be prepared to apply the Hong Kong Solution to Taiwan, which would put this dispute on ice for the next 99 years. By then I suspect the Communist System in China will have collapsed. In the meantime, there must also be a bilaterally negotiated and progressive demilitarization of military forces directed against each other on both sides of the Taiwan Straits.” So far, however, no one in authority at the White House or State shows the slightest inkling of bringing the Taiwan issue before the World Court and resolving this interminable and volatile crisis by legal means.

Sherwood RossWhile it is doubtful the Pentagon actually wants a war with China over Taiwan, there are arms manufacturers here who will profit handsomely from this escalating arms race and who march in lockstep with the Pentagon. And as ever more billions are poured down the China rat hole it will only further deprive Americans of needed funds for domestic necessities. But how valuable is housing, education, and medical care next to the production of missiles and aircraft carriers? And might that not explain why “China’s Secret War Plan” fell into the hands of Popular Mechanics?

Sherwood Ross

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Comments

  1. Ray Bishop says

    This gets into an area where the military industrial complex has the advantage. Since we do not have access to secret information on this level it is difficult to form an intelligent opinion. So many times in the past we have seen that those wishing to make money build the momentum for fear and eventually cash in. Out best hope is to elect an intelligent Commander in Chief.
    Certainly no one qualifies based on intelligence on the Republican ticket but they would certainly benefit when they decide to play the fear card. The campaign intelligence is something to be aware of and to fear. They have managed to have Progressive Democrats attacking the President so we need to know who the real enemy is.

  2. says

    LOL, the second commenter is an utterly clueless troll. Nobody here wants to be part of China.

    That said, viewed from Taiwan, greater US engagement out here would be welcome. The fact that the US has a sick past does not mean that China is automatically right. Your prof Boyle has no clue what he is talking about; weapons sales to Taiwan are not in violation of the 1982 Communique in any sense. Rather, those weapons demonstrate continued US commitment to Taiwan.

    Actually, Taiwan was never thought of as part of China until after the early 1940s — it was a colony of the Manchu empire but it was always “across the water”. As the late 1930s drew to a close it began to dawn on Chinese leaders that they might be able to grab it if Japan lost the war. The construction of Taiwan as sacred national territory is strictly a postwar invention as both Chinese gov’ts attempted to annex the island to their respective Chinas.

    Unfortunately too many progressives are looking at this through outdated postwar lenses. The US did not force China to annex Tibet or to claim an entire Indian state as a result of grabbing Tibet. The US did not force China to annex the Uighurs. The US did not force China to claim the Senkaku Islands from Japan after oil was discovered there. it did not force China to annex Vietnamese islands and regularly seize vietnamese fishing boats. It was not the US that forced China to develop territorial claims on all the nations around it, nations that now look to the US for backing against an expansionist China.

    Meanwhile we continue our criminal and criminally stupid war against Islam. Future historians will laugh at us.

    Michael

  3. pigdog67 says

    Taiwan is already very integrated into mainland China. Within another 10 years a plebiscite of Taiwanese will welcome full Chinese citizenship. Millions of Taiwanese work on the mainland right now. Taiwanese are materialists. What will Uncle Sam say then. And by the US aircraft carriers will be docked as the USA will not be able to afford the upkeep. Perhaps China will take some off the USAs hands at a deep discount to pay down some of the US debt.

  4. Joe Weinstein says

    In title and conclusion, this article focuses on two would-be sensational matters: a secret Chinese war plan, and US arms manufacturers that would benefit from a war.

    The article actually says nothing new about either. It names no specially relevant US manufacturers or their products. And about China’s ‘secret plan’ the most specific thing it says is that a Chinese missile is designed to target a moving aircraft carrier.

    In terms of technology long familiar to the USA, wouldn’t any missile with a sufficient targeting accuracy (or any barrage of missiles, each individually having somewhat less targeting accuracy) anyhow be able to do that? An aircraft carrier is a big and relatively slowly moving target and (in the case of China to near-Taiwan waters) doesn’t lie all that many flight minutes away. So what would seem ‘secret’ and ‘sensational’ here is not Chinese technology, let alone alleged but undisclosed Chinese plans that might use it.

    Rather, if Pop Mechanics is in fact exposing any real secret at all, that secret would have to be not about Chinese technology but about Pentagon presumptions about that technology. But is it really true that the Pentagon absurdly believes that Chinese technology is still so backward as to lack what the Chinese would need to counter close-in US aircraft carriers?

    The Taiwan strait is hardly the only place in the world where the US Navy would want to be able to bring carriers close to a well-armed hostile shore. If the US Navy (and Air Force) are in an arms race, it’s not solely on China’s account, so it’s makes little sense to speak of a commitment to defense of Taiwan as cause – for the US – of an arms race.

    The article closes with the usual correct and often cogent arguments against military spending as versus alternatives. But these arguments do not prove that commitment to defense of Taiwan actually incurs notable extra cost to US defense. Even the alleged (by mainland China) cumulative $60 billion in military aid to Taiwan pales in comparison with the technological and pricing benefits and bargains for US and other world consumers resulting from cutting-edge Taiwan-based computer and other industry.

    And that’s moreover apart from the priceless benefit of the message that an unsubjugated Taiwan sends to the benefit of and hope for human rights in Tibet and elsewhere in China’s repressive empire and sphere of influence.

    • Bill Steffen says

      This article was written by journalistic hacks who just want to make a buck. I don’t care what their credentials are or who they work for. Secret war plans my ass.

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