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trump loses electoral college

Electoral College: Trump Loses By Accident—Steve Fine

Friday, I said that for a December Surprise to happen when the Electoral College meets, a group of breakaway Republican electors need to have a plan—rally around an alternative candidate in the party. Short of electing someone else outright (there is zero chance of that), 38 electors can dump Trump by denying him the 270 electoral votes he needs to win and send the election to the House of Representatives.

Any pressure brought to bear on electors by the Republican leadership to toe the line could backfire, because at the same time they are trying to create an impression of the inevitability of Trump’s victory on Monday.

But time has run out. No unifying alternate candidate has stepped forward to create any last minute momentum in that direction. However, Trump can still be stopped this Monday if there are enough Republican electors primed to defect who do NOT have a plan. They just f*ck up. How?

By miscalculating. Each thinks they are the only one voting for an alternative Republican candidate. They assume Trump will still win by a comfortable margin, so ‘no harm, no foul’ by casting a symbolic protest vote.

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Oops. Or, as Elvis Costello, said, ‘Accidents will happen.”

That's providing there are far more Republican electors primed to bolt than anyone realized. If so, and of course I am being wildly optimistic here—then that, in part, is because of all the callers and petitioners pleading for them to act in the nation’s best interest by safeguarding us from the rise of a demagogue. They won’t be answering your call-back number to thank you, or tell anyone else for that matter if they are considering changing their vote, but it may have registered. An elector who intends to honor their conscience rather than their pledge must be cautious. (Only one has gone public, Chris Suprun, from Texas.)

Even more persuasive, though, may be religious objections that electors have regarding Trump’s lifestyle, and his challenge to their standards of patriotism by his obvious embrace of Russia, the traditional enemy, whether or not Putin did hack the election. Reservations they had about Trump during the primaries may be revived and intensified. Moreover, any pressure brought to bear on electors by the Republican leadership to toe the line could backfire, because at the same time they are trying to create an impression of the inevitability of Trump’s victory on Monday. That may give the conflicted elector a rationale for doing the opposite, since it won’t upset the applecart—they think.

Voting one’s conscience will be a cleansing act of self-respect and a fitting way to close out this miserable election cycle.

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Let’s hope so, times 38.

Steve Fine